Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 15.005107 17.424116 20.051154 23.108687 26.561750 30.332832 34.754818
2025-09-07 11.145325 14.515226 18.537303 23.654824 29.952389 37.405794 46.847483
2025-09-14 8.871472 12.656580 17.520758 24.145777 32.837399 43.745292 58.346774
2025-09-21 7.042556 10.884130 16.147347 23.742702 34.253427 48.092983 67.461710
2025-09-28 5.645112 9.388577 14.823915 23.082490 35.058148 51.494116 75.385929
2025-10-05 5.169707 9.129554 15.155654 24.696046 39.048880 59.392409 89.839713
2025-10-12 4.708450 8.797661 15.299179 25.989090 42.618615 66.882931 104.156367
2025-10-19 4.126973 8.162664 14.866124 26.307600 44.697647 72.294488 115.759800
2025-10-26 3.614326 7.555101 14.382687 26.457863 46.473248 77.306259 127.005625
2025-11-02 3.105217 6.864797 13.659970 26.109543 47.379149 80.990796 136.395069
2025-11-09 2.651079 6.198788 12.885884 25.568991 47.883386 84.022923 144.882512
2025-11-16 2.256677 5.581157 12.113836 24.931986 48.136528 86.617577 152.760968
2025-11-23 1.838364 4.859227 11.092362 23.813755 47.609269 88.146876 159.455676
2025-11-30 1.642437 4.595993 10.948019 24.347029 50.100100 94.955286 175.365297
2025-12-07 1.468593 4.348150 10.797850 24.845675 52.560334 101.863780 191.848420
2025-12-14 1.247459 3.934377 10.229837 24.431711 53.256594 105.717515 203.324005
2025-12-21 1.043267 3.514079 9.577903 23.754786 53.363421 108.493096 213.043815
2025-12-28 1.011988 3.558776 9.999928 25.408727 58.182119 120.091807 238.923054
2026-01-04 0.961626 3.538174 10.262106 26.733889 62.430500 130.865060 263.841510
2026-01-11 0.862915 3.350893 10.088732 27.060277 64.650293 137.956476 282.426819
2026-01-18 0.767957 3.151490 9.853681 27.214252 66.511125 144.455580 300.225848
2026-01-25 0.663702 2.893557 9.424462 26.857323 67.243055 148.798381 314.201608
2026-02-01 0.566528 2.631320 8.939291 26.303378 67.488431 152.179614 326.502552